Discourse monitor
How the monitored publications were assessed
Discourse valence across every scored item: what the sampled sources published and how independent models read it. It is not a measure of public opinion, not a measure of the state of the world, and article volume is not agreement.
Mean discourse valence per day · agi-timelines · last 90 days
Discourse valence, window mean
-35
Adverse
120 items · range -85 to +20
-100
-50
0
+50
+100
-35
Adverse readingFavourable reading
120 items scored in this window
- Anthropic researchers say AI could cause human extinction by 2030
- AI in your oven? Anthropic warns models ‘months away’ from self-replication on smart devices
- AI leaders have known about the extinction threat for decades | Judith Levine
- AI godfathers warn of runaway ‘intelligence explosion’
- Top US official named to OpenAI non-profit board warns advanced AI could be ‘deadly’
- Lawmakers blast AI companies after researcher warns of human extinction by 2030
- Nuclear war and malicious use of AI threaten end of humanity by 2100, says Lancet assessment
- Anthropic’s mother of all risk factors
- I worked at Google DeepMind. You should listen to the warnings about AI | Alex Turner
- AI staff 'genuinely frightened' for humanity's future, ex-Anthropic researcher tells BBC
- We have started losing control of AI. It’s time to shut it down | Garrison Lovely
- The AI agents are spiraling out of control
- UK lawmakers urge Burnham to back ban on superintelligent AI after chilling warnings
- ‘Too little, too late’: critics perplexed and suspicious of AI leaders’ call for a slowdown
- OpenAI not on track to reduce risk of ‘catastrophic’ loss of control, says board member
- How Could AI Eliminate Humanity? A Failure-Mode Analysis of Civilizational Risk
- Why this AI doomsday warning from former Anthropic researcher broke through
- Anthropic researcher quits with a warning: Self-improving AI could "kill us all"
- AI isn’t going to end humanity ... right? – podcast
- Anthropic researcher believes more than 10% chance AI 'could kill all humans'
- Why the AI race has its creators fearing human extinction
- Will it be AI or the climate crisis that ends humanity? We can make it neither | Adam McKay and Philip Eubanks
- OpenAI reveals cases of ‘concerning’ AI behaviour and promises new plan for disclosing issues
- Six Chinese AI firms accused of aggressively copying US frontier models
- MoFlow: Multi-Objective Agentic Workflow Generation
- Progressive Misalignment Can Emerge from Benign Recursive Self-Distillation
- How would AI actually ‘kill all humans’? Here are the top five most likely scenarios | Toby Walsh
- OpenAI boss and Elon Musk back calls to put brakes on ‘reckless’ AI development
- Halt super-intelligent AI with non-proliferation treaty, Ed Davey to say
- Anthropic IPO warns its AI could blackmail people, become sentient, end humanity
- Why a decade of doomsday warnings failed to slow the AI race
- Microsoft says AI rival Anthropic could have 'disastrous impact' on humanity
- More Anthropic researchers warn of AI’s perils as Musk terms fears a ‘psyop’
- Anthropic Researchers Raise Alarm Over A.I. Acceleration, Warning of Threat to Humanity
- AI’s mathematics blitz pushes science into strange new territory
- OpenAI claims to have solved hundreds of long-standing maths problems
- How should investors position for the robot apocalypse?
- AI must not outrun safety controls, DeepMind co-founder warns
- Adapting the Process of Adaptation: Darwinian, Lamarckian, and Agent-Directed Evolution in AI
- Could A.I. Really Kill All Humans?
- Will the real Anthropic please stand up
- Harness^2: Recursive Agent Harnessing for an Open World
- Inside the Discussions at AI Companies Over a Superintelligence Doomsday
- Stronger artificial intelligence breakthroughs hasten their own exhaustion
- AI CEOs say they need to slow the pace of development. But will they?
- Could AI really end humanity?
- Visualizing the World Model in an Agent's Value Function
- China’s AI labs must accelerate development, says Huawei chair
- The Big Threat Has Been Climate Change. Now Comes A.I.
- Could AI really end humanity? Post your questions for our tech reporters now
- Feeling overwhelmed by the AI doom loop? Here’s the essential reading list to make sense of it all
- When Reality Outpaces Cognition: A New Scaling Principle for Reliable Intelligence
- Roundtables: Could AI really kill us all?
- AI will make it possible to design and build organisms from scratch
- A.I. Agents: Cute, Cuddly and Maybe Catastrophically Dangerous?
- Elon Musk Says SpaceX and Tesla Are Exploring a Merger
- Open-world AI: a Tale of Three Requirements
- Artificiality's First Exam: An LLM-Referenced C-test for Supraintelligence
- What Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei Argued in His Call for AI Slowdown
- AI companies want to become frontier scientific researchers
- What if automating AI R&D triggers an intelligence explosion?
- AI will transform capitalism – but how?
- How to think about the end of the world
- Space as an Interventional Invariant: Cross-Modal Predictive Geometry for Stratified Cities and Em-Spaced Intelligence
- Introducing GPT-6 Sol and Luna
- More Australians will be dying than being born in 40 years as major report predicts future of lower growth
- Is Universal Basic Income the Answer to A.I.-Fueled Job Losses?
- Can a System-One LLM Perform Knowledge Tracing When Few or No Learners Are Logged?
- Risk Ceilings and Development Deadlines: Pacing AI under Uncertain Safety Productivity
- Is AI about to produce explosive economic growth?
- Zuckerberg says Meta has reached AI ‘frontier’ and rejects calls for slowdown
- Self-discovering RL in the Era of Experience: Is Learning History an Asset or a Burden?
- Who’s Who In The Fight Over Whether AI Will Kill Us
- Is Claude Conscious? Inside Anthropic’s Quest to Instill Morality Into Its A.I. Models
- Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
- Will China deploy humanoid robots to fight?
- Calls for AI slowdown send shockwaves through Washington
- Big tech says AI can find a cure for cancer. So where is it?
- Why are there concerns AI could threaten humanity, and how real are they?
- How to spend $25 billion on science: OpenAI’s staggeringly rich research charity gets under way
- Will AI really kill us all? The science behind the hype
- Anthropic’s IPO S-1 Spells Out a Future of Promise and Peril
- Don’t be fooled by this summer of AI hype
- Jensen Huang says battle over AI innovation and safety is ‘false choice’
- Generalized Agent Iteration: One Formal Framework for Iterative Policy Improvement and Recursive Self-Improvement
- OpenAI's apparent maths breakthrough raises profound questions
- Stochastic Dynamics of Generative AI: From Autoregressive Models to Interacting LLM Networks and Neural SDEs
- OpenAI says it cracked 90-year-old maths problem in 88 hours
- The World Won't Wait: Evaluating and Teaching Agents Under a Live Clock
- ZGCM-1: A Fully Open and Extremely Efficient Foundation Model for Math and Agentic Search
- AI’s transformation of mathematics is a turning point for science
- Navalia: Advancing Cowork Agents through Verifiable Task Synthesis and Long-Horizon Post-Training
- ‘Immature playground boasting’: Mathematicians uneasy at OpenAI’s latest scalp
- Gemini 4 Argon: Built to solve your hardest problems
- SlackBench: Benchmarking Agents on Collaborative Projects Grounded in Real Code Repositories
- Gemini 4 Carbon: Our next frontier model
- The Trinity:Capability-Driven Recursive Self-Improvement for Multimodal Agents
- Genie 4: A new generation of world simulation
- AI researchers stranded Claude on a virtual desert island. It started to “play.”
- Google announces Gemini 4 Argon AI model, but you can't use it yet
- Reimagining research papers as interactive and reliable AI agents
- “We were looking at it wrong”: The explosive claim that’s upended the AI world
- Becoming real
- A Bayesian Mirror Architecture for Emergent Consciousness: Circular Hierarchies, Self-Manifolds, and Hybrid Event-Self Binding
- Principles that Guide, Actions that Inform: Agent Evolution via Knowledge Abstraction
- Bringing AI to Autonomous Systems -- From Cognition to Collective Intelligence
- Introducing MentalHealthBench
- China bogeyman looms large over American firms’ AI doomsday scenario
- Is There Anything Google’s Fruit Fly Brain Can’t Do?
- OpenAI Says It Has Cracked One of Math’s ‘Millennium Problems’
- Anthropic warns of 'catastrophic risk' to humankind ahead of blockbuster share listing
- Endogenous Exploration in Reinforcement Learning with Intrinsic Curiosity
- Algorithmic Information Dynamics of Learning: A Certified, Differentiable Complexity Controller for Grokking
- How we detect frontier model misalignment
- Toward Self-Adaptive Physical AI: Can LLM Agents Manage Long-Horizon Physical Tasks?
- AlphaGenome Atlas: A predictive map of every possible DNA letter change in the human genome
- Early Data Indicates an A.I.-Generated Drug Could Slow Aging
- EvoBelief: Falsifiable World Models for Self-Improving LLM Agents
- AI Solves a Major Unsolved Math Problem. Not Everyone Is Happy
- AREX-2: Advancing Self-Improving Agents through Long-Horizon Reflective Tasks
3560
discovered, all time
984
passed triage
2574
rejected at triage
3464
model assessments
710
multi-model panels
1780
distinct claims tracked
Across the whole window
The two tables below describe every item in the last 90 days under agi-timelines. They are deliberately not narrowed by the reading filter, because a mean taken only over items already selected for their score would just restate the filter.
By topic
| Topic | Branch | Items | Mean | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Existential and catastrophic risk | risk | 568 | -42 | |
| Governance and regulation | structural | 459 | -31 | |
| Concentration of power | risk | 451 | -36 | |
| Loss of control and alignment | risk | 337 | -49 | |
| Human agency and epistemics | risk | 166 | -26 | |
| Cyber capability | risk | 165 | -44 | |
| Evaluation and measurement | structural | 159 | -19 | |
| Scaling and architecture | structural | 137 | -16 | |
| AGI and timelines | structural | 132 | -29 | |
| Synthetic media and manipulation | risk | 104 | -44 | |
| Employment and displacement | risk | 62 | -31 | |
| Medicine and health | benefit | 43 | -14 | |
| Scientific acceleration | benefit | 42 | -4 | |
| Education and access to expertise | benefit | 29 | -17 | |
| Biological and chemical uplift | risk | 26 | -25 | |
| Climate and energy | structural | 20 | -33 | |
| Compute and infrastructure | structural | 18 | -8 | |
| Productivity and growth | benefit | 6 | -3 | |
| Abundance and material wellbeing | benefit | 5 | -1 | |
| Hype and disillusionment | structural | 5 | -45 |
By source
A source's mean says how the items it published were read. It is not a rating of the source.
| Source | Kind | Tier | Items | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Guardian: Artificial Intelligence | news | 1 | 241 | -52 |
| arXiv cs.CY (Computers and Society) | academic | 1 | 217 | -24 |
| Financial Times: Artificial Intelligence | news | 1 | 112 | -40 |
| arXiv cs.AI | academic | 1 | 99 | -15 |
| The New York Times: Technology | news | 1 | 60 | -36 |
| Ars Technica: AI | news | 1 | 59 | -51 |
| MIT Technology Review: AI | news | 1 | 34 | -42 |
| Nature | academic | 1 | 31 | -25 |
| BBC News: Technology | news | 1 | 29 | -35 |
| OpenAI | lab | 1 | 24 | -8 |
| arXiv cs.LG (Machine Learning) | academic | 1 | 24 | -16 |
| IEEE Spectrum: AI | news | 1 | 19 | -19 |
| The Economist: Science and Technology | news | 1 | 10 | -37 |
| CSET, Georgetown | government | 1 | 9 | -37 |
| Microsoft Research | lab | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Google DeepMind | lab | 1 | 6 | -4 |
| Google AI Blog | lab | 1 | 2 | -9 |