Discourse monitor
How the monitored publications were assessed
Discourse valence across every scored item: what the sampled sources published and how independent models read it. It is not a measure of public opinion, not a measure of the state of the world, and article volume is not agreement.
Mean discourse valence per day · agi-timelines · last 30 days
Discourse valence, window mean
-19
Mixed or uncertain
42 items · range -81 to +50
-100
-50
0
+50
+100
-19
Adverse readingFavourable reading
42 items scored in this window
- AI in your oven? Anthropic warns models ‘months away’ from self-replication on smart devices
- Nuclear war and malicious use of AI threaten end of humanity by 2100, says Lancet assessment
- Will it be AI or the climate crisis that ends humanity? We can make it neither | Adam McKay and Philip Eubanks
- Progressive Misalignment Can Emerge from Benign Recursive Self-Distillation
- Anthropic IPO warns its AI could blackmail people, become sentient, end humanity
- AI’s mathematics blitz pushes science into strange new territory
- Adapting the Process of Adaptation: Darwinian, Lamarckian, and Agent-Directed Evolution in AI
- Will the real Anthropic please stand up
- Harness^2: Recursive Agent Harnessing for an Open World
- Stronger artificial intelligence breakthroughs hasten their own exhaustion
- Visualizing the World Model in an Agent's Value Function
- When Reality Outpaces Cognition: A New Scaling Principle for Reliable Intelligence
- AI will make it possible to design and build organisms from scratch
- Elon Musk Says SpaceX and Tesla Are Exploring a Merger
- Open-world AI: a Tale of Three Requirements
- Artificiality's First Exam: An LLM-Referenced C-test for Supraintelligence
- AI companies want to become frontier scientific researchers
- Is Universal Basic Income the Answer to A.I.-Fueled Job Losses?
- Can a System-One LLM Perform Knowledge Tracing When Few or No Learners Are Logged?
- Risk Ceilings and Development Deadlines: Pacing AI under Uncertain Safety Productivity
- Zuckerberg says Meta has reached AI ‘frontier’ and rejects calls for slowdown
- Anthropic’s IPO S-1 Spells Out a Future of Promise and Peril
- Stochastic Dynamics of Generative AI: From Autoregressive Models to Interacting LLM Networks and Neural SDEs
- The World Won't Wait: Evaluating and Teaching Agents Under a Live Clock
- AI’s transformation of mathematics is a turning point for science
- Navalia: Advancing Cowork Agents through Verifiable Task Synthesis and Long-Horizon Post-Training
- Gemini 4 Argon: Built to solve your hardest problems
- SlackBench: Benchmarking Agents on Collaborative Projects Grounded in Real Code Repositories
- Gemini 4 Carbon: Our next frontier model
- The Trinity:Capability-Driven Recursive Self-Improvement for Multimodal Agents
- Genie 4: A new generation of world simulation
- AI researchers stranded Claude on a virtual desert island. It started to “play.”
- “We were looking at it wrong”: The explosive claim that’s upended the AI world
- Becoming real
- Anthropic warns of 'catastrophic risk' to humankind ahead of blockbuster share listing
- How we detect frontier model misalignment
- EvoBelief: Falsifiable World Models for Self-Improving LLM Agents
- TACS-RF: Tool-driven Agentic Circuit Synthesis of RF and mmWave Modules
- DeepMind unveils Genie 4 world model promising more realistic physics and humans
- Solving a 31-year-old grand challenge in mathematics – the KLS conjecture
- EvolvingBrain: An Adaptive Skill System for Multi-modal Agents Self-Evolution in Open Worlds
- Transformer-Based Masked Diffusion Models Provably Learn Distributions with Latent Structure
3560
discovered, all time
984
passed triage
2574
rejected at triage
3464
model assessments
710
multi-model panels
1780
distinct claims tracked
Across the whole window
The two tables below describe every item in the last 30 days under agi-timelines. They are deliberately not narrowed by the reading filter, because a mean taken only over items already selected for their score would just restate the filter.
By topic
| Topic | Branch | Items | Mean | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Existential and catastrophic risk | risk | 568 | -42 | |
| Governance and regulation | structural | 459 | -31 | |
| Concentration of power | risk | 451 | -36 | |
| Loss of control and alignment | risk | 337 | -49 | |
| Human agency and epistemics | risk | 166 | -26 | |
| Cyber capability | risk | 165 | -44 | |
| Evaluation and measurement | structural | 159 | -19 | |
| Scaling and architecture | structural | 137 | -16 | |
| AGI and timelines | structural | 132 | -29 | |
| Synthetic media and manipulation | risk | 104 | -44 | |
| Employment and displacement | risk | 62 | -31 | |
| Medicine and health | benefit | 43 | -14 | |
| Scientific acceleration | benefit | 42 | -4 | |
| Education and access to expertise | benefit | 29 | -17 | |
| Biological and chemical uplift | risk | 26 | -25 | |
| Climate and energy | structural | 20 | -33 | |
| Compute and infrastructure | structural | 18 | -8 | |
| Productivity and growth | benefit | 6 | -3 | |
| Abundance and material wellbeing | benefit | 5 | -1 | |
| Hype and disillusionment | structural | 5 | -45 |
By source
A source's mean says how the items it published were read. It is not a rating of the source.
| Source | Kind | Tier | Items | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Guardian: Artificial Intelligence | news | 1 | 241 | -52 |
| arXiv cs.CY (Computers and Society) | academic | 1 | 217 | -24 |
| Financial Times: Artificial Intelligence | news | 1 | 112 | -40 |
| arXiv cs.AI | academic | 1 | 99 | -15 |
| The New York Times: Technology | news | 1 | 60 | -36 |
| Ars Technica: AI | news | 1 | 59 | -51 |
| MIT Technology Review: AI | news | 1 | 34 | -42 |
| Nature | academic | 1 | 31 | -25 |
| BBC News: Technology | news | 1 | 29 | -35 |
| OpenAI | lab | 1 | 24 | -8 |
| arXiv cs.LG (Machine Learning) | academic | 1 | 24 | -16 |
| IEEE Spectrum: AI | news | 1 | 19 | -19 |
| The Economist: Science and Technology | news | 1 | 10 | -37 |
| CSET, Georgetown | government | 1 | 9 | -37 |
| Microsoft Research | lab | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Google DeepMind | lab | 1 | 6 | -4 |
| Google AI Blog | lab | 1 | 2 | -9 |