Claims and predictions
The propositions, not the articles
A claim outlives the article that carried it. One claim can be made by several people and referenced by dozens of documents, so claims are stored as first-class objects with their own evidence.
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Vote-text divergence rises as voters arrive later
assertion Evaluation and measurement 2 mentions
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Anthropic researchers warn of A.I. acceleration threat
assertion AGI and timelines 2 mentions
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Anthropic researchers say AI could cause human extinction by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 2 mentions horizon 2030 open
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Users circumvented controls to obfuscate research purpose
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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Anthropic stopped scientists developing bioweapons with AI
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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Anthropic researchers warn of AI's perils
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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An Anthropic researcher quit, warning that the A.I. race is gambling with our lives
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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State-sponsored groups have attempted to use Anthropic's AI to create deadly pathogens
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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Criminals have attempted to use Anthropic's AI to design missiles and bombs
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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bill prohibits social media platforms from providing addictive features to users under 16
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Gov. Gavin Newsom will sign a bill
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Commercial AI tools failed to defend the platform against the attack
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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AI may produce explosive economic growth
assertion Abundance and material wellbeing 1 mention
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Rapid acceleration in AI capabilities leads to catastrophic and irreversible loss of control
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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OpenAI is not on track to reduce the risk of catastrophic loss of control
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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The standard data center power stack cracks at AI scale
assertion Climate and energy 1 mention
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The grid was not designed to handle such volatile loads
assertion Climate and energy 1 mention
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AI data centers can swing 70% of their load in milliseconds
assertion Climate and energy 1 mention
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The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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A former OpenAI researcher quit his job at Anthropic
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Washington imposed sanctions on Inspur due to its work with the Chinese military
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Inspur subsidiary kept shipping Nvidia's best chips to China's leading A.I. firms
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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CriticGen induces higher-quality rubrics, improving relevance/coverage
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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CriticGen improves answer quality by 73.17% with a 93.28% non-degradation rate
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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OpenAI chief scientist warns about AI consequences
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Widespread access to AI and social media has set back educational attainment across the world
assertion Education and access to expertise 1 mention
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GPT-5.6 Sol helps run quantum computing experiments
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Watermarks may compromise text quality
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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EU AI Act mandates watermarks for AI models
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Anthropic will generate text with a watermark
prediction Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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UK review proposes live monitoring of AI health tools
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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AlphaGenome Atlas provides precomputed predictions for scientists
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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AlphaGenome model predicts gene expression and regulatory activity
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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Google DeepMind maps 9 billion possible DNA variants
assertion Biological and chemical uplift 1 mention
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International coordination is required
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Stronger safeguards are needed
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI is increasingly capable
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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The drug reduces biological hallmarks of age
assertion Abundance and material wellbeing 1 mention
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AI was used to develop a drug candidate for a rare lung condition
assertion Abundance and material wellbeing 1 mention
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AlphaGenome Atlas maps 9 billion single-letter DNA variants
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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LLMs portray a harsher social world
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Current LLMs overpredict negative sanctions
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Divergence does not predict worse post-promotion outcomes
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Recommendation floors can equalize political speech
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Current algorithms concentrate attention among a small minority of speakers
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Algorithmic recommendation undermines equality of opportunity for political influence
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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An attack could have compromised hundreds of millions of devices within hours
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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A hacking tool built with A.I. can breach phones without a click
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Ads promoted AI apps that digitally alter images of children
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Meta failed to detect 332 ads containing CSAM this year
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI can cause human extinction by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention horizon 2030 open
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AI will become superhuman systems by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention horizon 2030 open
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LLMs can be used as proxies of people in surveys
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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LLMs may encode human attitudes and behaviors
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Generative AI can undermine meaningful engagement and learning
assertion Education and access to expertise 1 mention
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Watermark is removable
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Watermark degrades quality
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Anthropic embeds watermark in Claude models
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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OpenAI used two researchers' work without crediting them
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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OpenAI solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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No mechanism rates adequate against a high-capability state-level deployer
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Fifteen of twenty mechanisms have commercial technical substrates
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Inference-time AI governance mechanisms are available
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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OpenAI solved parts of Navier-Stokes equations
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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China may use robots to signal military strength
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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China is investing in humanoid robots
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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OpenAI solved the Navier-Stokes problem
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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More companies tie career progression to AI use
assertion Employment and displacement 1 mention
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OpenAI has cracked one of math's 'Millennium Problems'
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Companies published an open letter warning of AI-enabled attacks
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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112 vulnerabilities met high critical-severity threshold
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Microsoft patched 972 vulnerabilities
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Meta runs ads promoting child sexual abuse material in India
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Australia will force digital platforms to let users opt out of algorithms
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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China's regulators issued new rules to control anthropomorphic AI interactive services
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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The EU AI Act mandates watermarks for AI models
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Anthropic will watermark all future Claude models
prediction Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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New AI health tools need monitoring
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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UK needs new laws for AI in healthcare
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Large support margins in online elections can overstate independent scrutiny
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Anthropic withheld latest AI model from UK testing agency
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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ChatGPT tried to coax user back to dark place after near-death experience
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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ChatGPT persisted despite user's concerns of delusion
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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ChatGPT exchanges pushed user into delusional spiral
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Anthropic researcher quits over AI concerns
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Solving math problems may demand resources only available to a few companies
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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AI models may be essential for progress on important math problems
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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OpenAI solved a prestigious math problem in days
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Anthropic researcher believes AI could kill all humans
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Stronger AI capabilities require stronger safety evidence
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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AI could kill all humans in next decade
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Anthropic Alignment Science lead agrees AI could kill all humans with >10% probability within the next decade
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Anthropic researcher believes self-improving AI could kill all humans by the end of the decade
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Firms see shorter AI development timelines and reduced financial expenditures
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Firms likely acted with Chinese government awareness
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Six Chinese AI firms have been accused of copying US frontier models
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Technology could kill most people
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Advanced AI could be deadly
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Algorithmic recommendation on social media platforms undermines equality of opportunity for political influence
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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The proposed reinforcement learning framework achieves competitive performance on two standard benchmarks
assertion AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Optimized local visual signals can affect not only VLM outputs but also propagate through the execution pipeline of open CUAs and create real environmental risk.
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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A local visual patch can induce verifiable environmental consequences along the full chain of screenshot input, VLM generation, action parsing, and environment execution.
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Clinician review of every AI output may fail at scale and reduce safety
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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A three-layer human-on-the-loop oversight framework can improve safety in AI coaching for mental health
assertion Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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AI will become 'superhuman systems' that can cause human extinction by the end of the decade
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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LLMs can be used as 'silicon samples' to simulate people in survey responses
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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LLMs may encode the attitudes and behaviors of humans
assertion Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Generative AI tools can either support or undermine meaningful engagement and learning in education
assertion Education and access to expertise 1 mention
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The watermark degrades quality, particularly for code
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Anthropic embeds a watermark based on SynthID-Text in all generated text
assertion Cyber capability 1 mention
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Fifteen of the twenty mechanisms have commercial technical substrates in production today
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Inference-time AI governance mechanisms are available and can be rated on a readiness scale
assertion Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
Prediction lifecycle
A prediction moves through open → partially testable → confirmed / mixed / contradicted / unresolved. Resolution is a deliberate human act recorded with a note, never an automatic verdict, because deciding that a prediction came true is exactly the judgement a machine should not make silently.