Claims and predictions
The propositions, not the articles
A claim outlives the article that carried it. One claim can be made by several people and referenced by dozens of documents, so claims are stored as first-class objects with their own evidence.
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Anthropic researchers say AI could cause human extinction by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 2 mentions horizon 2030 open
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AI-powered malicious software likely to be used in hacking attacks by 2028
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention horizon 2028 open
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AI will make grant reviews
prediction Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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Chinese and Russian AI cyber attacks will be routine by 2028
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention horizon 2028 open
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AI will enable a ransomware attack against critical national infrastructure between now and 2028
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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AI-powered malware will be used to hack UK infrastructure by 2028
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention horizon 2028 open
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Climate crisis may reach 3C by 2050
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention horizon 2050 open
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57% of published academic articles show AI influence by 2025
prediction Evaluation and measurement 1 mention horizon 2025 open
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Universities will need to be radically redesigned
prediction Education and access to expertise 1 mention
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Australia will become a global IP-laundering paradise
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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RAF will rely on autonomy, not human involvement
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI-related water demand estimated at 4-6 billion m^3 annually by 2027
prediction Climate and energy 1 mention horizon 2027 open
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AI will consume 6.7-12% of US electricity by 2028
prediction Climate and energy 1 mention horizon 2028 open
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AI will be used to identify and exploit security vulnerabilities at an unprecedented scale and pace
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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AI tools will expose more fundamental weaknesses in global internet infrastructure
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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The datacenter will be located in a water-scarce area.
prediction Climate and energy 1 mention
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AI will make it possible to design and build organisms from scratch
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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China will lead the world in science
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Scientists worry that AI will beat them to discoveries
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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LLM agent reports high confidence on 56% of tasks it will probably fail
prediction Human agency and epistemics 1 mention
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Users will lose cognitive capacities to control AI
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Firms will undergo independent safety audits
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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The AI platform will make it easier for Americans to interact with the federal government
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Kennedy claims AI will free us from medical tyranny
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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AI will solve all of our problems, including the problem of being alive
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI will surpass human abilities
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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OpenAI will not release GPT-6.1 Astra
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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AI systems will orchestrate complex research workflows
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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MyVirtualME will reduce digital bureaucracy and improve interactions
prediction Human agency and epistemics 1 mention
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MyVirtualME will act on behalf of individuals towards companies and administrations
prediction Human agency and epistemics 1 mention
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The satellite will validate Google's vision for a constellation of AI satellites
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Xi and US leaders will discuss AI risks
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Centre will tackle disinformation and deepfakes from hostile states
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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UK will create National Centre for Information Defence
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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China and US will work together on AI security
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Continuous assessments and quarterly reports will improve scrutiny
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Frontier AI developers will host embedded assessments
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Ed Davey will call for a global non-proliferation treaty to halt super-intelligent AI development
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Burnham will call for global effort to control AI threats
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Chief executive Sam Altman will brief the UN Security Council
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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US government to spend $1 billion to triple virtual wall size by 2034
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention horizon 2034 open
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Australia will have more deaths than births in 40 years
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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Trump will create an AI Force
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Trump will appoint an AI czar
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Anthropic will generate $100 billion in annualized revenue this year
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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California will develop AI safety recommendations
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI-driven cyberattacks on hospitals will claim victims
prediction Cyber capability 1 mention
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Slowdown in tech investment will have a disproportionate impact on growth
prediction Employment and displacement 1 mention
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Reach will cut 220 editorial jobs
prediction Employment and displacement 1 mention
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EU will restrict social media and chatbots for children under 15
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Tech companies might be happy for people to believe AI will 'kill us all'
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Bernie Sanders says current AI is 'the least capable version of AI that we will ever have'
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Hyperscalers need 2.7x productivity growth to break even by 2030
prediction Abundance and material wellbeing 1 mention horizon 2030 open
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Hyperscalers will spend $1.1 trillion on AI by 2027
prediction Abundance and material wellbeing 1 mention horizon 2027 open
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AI will shape global climate assessments
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI datacenters will enable corporations to redistribute workers' salaries to themselves
prediction Employment and displacement 1 mention
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Pfas companies will increase production to meet AI industry demand
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Anthropic researchers warned AI could kill all humanity by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention horizon 2030 open
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AI will transform capitalism
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
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OpenAI will not go public in 2026
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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AI-generated decisions will ration human rights
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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Anthropic will provide third-party evaluators with access to their systems
prediction Existential and catastrophic risk 1 mention
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A slow rollout will disappoint investors
prediction Employment and displacement 1 mention
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Up to 40% of cars sold could have self-driving capability by 2035
prediction Employment and displacement 1 mention horizon 2035 open
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Gov. Gavin Newsom will sign a bill
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Anthropic will generate text with a watermark
prediction Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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AI can cause human extinction by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention horizon 2030 open
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AI will become superhuman systems by 2030
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention horizon 2030 open
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Australia will force digital platforms to let users opt out of algorithms
prediction Governance and regulation 1 mention
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Anthropic will watermark all future Claude models
prediction Evaluation and measurement 1 mention
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AI will become 'superhuman systems' that can cause human extinction by the end of the decade
prediction AGI and timelines 1 mention
Prediction lifecycle
A prediction moves through open → partially testable → confirmed / mixed / contradicted / unresolved. Resolution is a deliberate human act recorded with a note, never an automatic verdict, because deciding that a prediction came true is exactly the judgement a machine should not make silently.