Provenance record

Gemini 4 Carbon: Our next frontier model

Google DeepMind (tier 1, lab) 2026-10-28T17:00:58.000Z Original ↗

Source note: Primary statements from a frontier lab.


Discourse valence
-5
Mixed or uncertain
confidence 64% · 5 items · range -100 to +75
Adverse readingFavourable reading
Consensus of 5 models from different labs. Spread 175 points, agreement low.
AGI and timelinesExistential and catastrophic riskScaling and architecture

Every model that read this

ModelProviderStageScoreConf.LatencyPromptWhen
Llama 3.3 70BMetaanalysis 0 20%2422ms v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 2026-10-28 18:18
GPT-4.1 miniOpenAIconsensus 0 30%1500ms v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 2026-10-28 18:18
Claude Sonnet 5Anthropicconsensus 0 90%3245ms v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 2026-10-28 18:18
Gemini 2.5 FlashGoogleconsensus -100 100%1625ms v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 2026-10-28 18:18
Mistral Small 3.1 24BMistral AIconsensus +75 80%4876ms v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 2026-10-28 18:18
Llama 3.3 70B · reading

No societal implications mentioned.

evidence: speculative horizon: n/a
GPT-4.1 mini · reading

The text provides only metadata without any substantive information or claims about AI capabilities or societal implications. There is insufficient evidence to assess impact on human flourishing.

evidence: speculative horizon: speculative capability 0 societal 0 existential 0 economic 0
Claude Sonnet 5 · reading

The provided text contains only a title and metadata with no substantive content describing the model's capabilities or implications. There is nothing here to evaluate for societal effect.

evidence: reported horizon: n/a
Gemini 2.5 Flash · reading

The provided text is empty, and the publication date is in the future. Consequently, there is no content to assess for its implications on human flourishing, leading to a neutral score and low confidence in any specific implication. The 'speculative' flag is set due to the lack of actual information.

evidence: reported horizon: n/a
Mistral Small 3.1 24B · reading

The text presents a new AI model designed for efficiency and sustainability. It implies broad societal benefits. There is no mention of risks or negative implications.

evidence: primary horizon: n/a existential 0
The chain
SOURCE     Google DeepMind (tier 1)
   ↓
DOCUMENT   8179f049-7585-4671-9952-527ab1837619
           https://deepmind.google/blog/gemini-4-carbon-our-next-frontier-model
   ↓
EVIDENCE   0 extracted excerpts
   ↓
MODEL RUN  5 runs, methodology 1.0.1
   ↓
SCORE      -5  (Mixed or uncertain)
   ↓
CONFIDENCE 64%