Discourse monitor

How the monitored publications were assessed

Discourse valence across every scored item: what the sampled sources published and how independent models read it. It is not a measure of public opinion, not a measure of the state of the world, and article volume is not agreement.


Range
Mean discourse valence per day · agi-timelines · last 30 days
-100-500+50+100 2026-10-09: -26 (2 items)2026-10-12: -8 (5 items)2026-10-13: -44 (2 items)2026-10-14: -23 (3 items)2026-10-15: -42 (3 items)2026-10-16: -9 (4 items)2026-10-19: -22 (3 items)2026-10-21: -10 (4 items)2026-10-26: -10 (4 items)2026-10-27: +23 (2 items)2026-10-28: -25 (3 items)2026-10-29: +7 (1 items)2026-11-05: -5 (1 items)2026-11-06: -35 (2 items) 2026-10-09 2026-11-06

This line is the mean of every item scored on each day. It deliberately ignores the reading filter, because a daily mean of only the adverse items would move with how many were filtered out rather than with the discourse.

Discourse valence, adverse
-40
Adverse
19 items · range -63 to -20
Adverse readingFavourable reading
Mean across the 19 items matching this filter under agi-timelines in the last 30 days.

19 items read as adverse

3560
discovered, all time
984
passed triage
2574
rejected at triage
3464
model assessments
710
multi-model panels
1780
distinct claims tracked

Across the whole window

The two tables below describe every item in the last 30 days under agi-timelines. They are deliberately not narrowed by the reading filter (currently adverse), because a mean taken only over items already selected for their score would just restate the filter.

By topic

TopicBranchItemsMeanPosition
Existential and catastrophic risk risk 568 -42
Governance and regulation structural 459 -31
Concentration of power risk 451 -36
Loss of control and alignment risk 337 -49
Human agency and epistemics risk 166 -26
Cyber capability risk 165 -44
Evaluation and measurement structural 159 -19
Scaling and architecture structural 137 -16
AGI and timelines structural 132 -29
Synthetic media and manipulation risk 104 -44
Employment and displacement risk 62 -31
Medicine and health benefit 43 -14
Scientific acceleration benefit 42 -4
Education and access to expertise benefit 29 -17
Biological and chemical uplift risk 26 -25
Climate and energy structural 20 -33
Compute and infrastructure structural 18 -8
Productivity and growth benefit 6 -3
Abundance and material wellbeing benefit 5 -1
Hype and disillusionment structural 5 -45

By source

A source's mean says how the items it published were read. It is not a rating of the source.

SourceKindTierItemsMean
The Guardian: Artificial Intelligencenews1241-52
arXiv cs.CY (Computers and Society)academic1217-24
Financial Times: Artificial Intelligencenews1112-40
arXiv cs.AIacademic199-15
The New York Times: Technologynews160-36
Ars Technica: AInews159-51
MIT Technology Review: AInews134-42
Natureacademic131-25
BBC News: Technologynews129-35
OpenAIlab124-8
arXiv cs.LG (Machine Learning)academic124-16
IEEE Spectrum: AInews119-19
The Economist: Science and Technologynews110-37
CSET, Georgetowngovernment19-37
Microsoft Researchlab180
Google DeepMindlab16-4
Google AI Bloglab12-9