Yoshua Bengio

Researcher; Turing Award laureate · Mila, Université de Montréal

Shared the 2018 Turing Award. Chaired the International AI Safety Report. Moved publicly from a low-concern to a high-concern position from 2023 onward and now works on non-agentic 'scientist AI' designs.

Stated numbers

Each point is a number this person gave, on the date they gave it. Nothing on this chart is machine-generated. A hollow point means the entry is flagged unverified: it is a placeholder standing in for a position stated in words rather than a figure the person actually put a number on.

Date	Probability	Question asked	Source	Verification
2024-01-01	20%	Probability of catastrophic outcomes from advanced AI	Public interviews and written testimony, 2023 to 2025	reported
	Bengio has described his own estimate as around 20 percent while stressing the wide uncertainty and arguing the number matters less than the fact that it is not negligible.

Inferred position

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