People observatory
Yann LeCun

Photo: Jérémy Barande, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Yann LeCun

Chief AI Scientist; Turing Award laureate · Meta

Shared the 2018 Turing Award with Hinton and Bengio. Consistently argues that existential-risk framing is misplaced, that current autoregressive models are a dead end for human-level intelligence, and that steerability is an engineering problem.


Stated numbers

Each point is a number this person gave, on the date they gave it. Nothing on this chart is machine-generated. A hollow point means the entry is flagged unverified: it is a placeholder standing in for a position stated in words rather than a figure the person actually put a number on.

0%25%50%75%100% 2023-10-01: 0% (unverified) — Probability that AI causes human extinction 0% 2023202420252026
DateProbabilityQuestion askedSourceVerification
2023-10-01 0% Probability that AI causes human extinction Repeated public statements on social media and in interviews, 2023 to 2025 unverified
LeCun has not given a formal number. He has repeatedly described the risk as negligible and the framing as unscientific. The value here is a placeholder for 'asserted negligible' and is flagged accordingly rather than presented as his figure.

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