Elon Musk

Chief Executive · Tesla, SpaceX, xAI

Co-founded OpenAI, later left and founded xAI. Has warned about AI risk for over a decade while building frontier systems, a combination he treats as consistent and critics treat as contradictory.

Stated numbers

Each point is a number this person gave, on the date they gave it. Nothing on this chart is machine-generated. A hollow point means the entry is flagged unverified: it is a placeholder standing in for a position stated in words rather than a figure the person actually put a number on.

Date	Probability	Question asked	Source	Verification
2024-03-18	15% (10–20)	Probability that AI annihilates humanity	Abundance Summit, Great AI Debate, March 2024	reported
	Stated alongside the claim that the most likely outcome is nonetheless positive.

Inferred position

Not enough scored documents mentioning Elon Musk yet. The pipeline needs at least three inside the window before it will infer anything.

Recent documents mentioning Elon Musk

Nothing in the corpus yet.