Dario Amodei

Chief Executive · Anthropic

Left OpenAI to co-found Anthropic. Publishes long-form essays arguing both that the upside is enormous (compressed decades of biology) and that the probability of a very bad outcome is not small.

Stated numbers

Each point is a number this person gave, on the date they gave it. Nothing on this chart is machine-generated. A hollow point means the entry is flagged unverified: it is a placeholder standing in for a position stated in words rather than a figure the person actually put a number on.

Date	Probability	Question asked	Source	Verification
2023-08-08	20% (10–25)	Probability that things go really badly with advanced AI	Dwarkesh Podcast interview, August 2023	reported
	Stated as a range rather than a point estimate, and about civilisational-scale bad outcomes rather than extinction specifically.

Inferred position

Not enough scored documents mentioning Dario Amodei yet. The pipeline needs at least three inside the window before it will infer anything.

Recent documents mentioning Dario Amodei

Nothing in the corpus yet.