They war-gamed dimming the Sun. It went even worse than you think.
When it comes to deciding the fate of the planet, Colleen Golja always thought science and reason would have a seat at the table. That was until one morning last September in London, when the climate researcher took part in the first in a series of war games. The goal: to prevent an uncontrolled global race to develop a technology aimed at cooling the planet but that comes with vast, unknown risks that could reshape life on Earth. “I thought that would be such an easy thing. Like, we can all agree to do ethical research and make sure it's for the better of all humans,” she told WIRED. “And boy, was I wrong.” The simulation, titled Exploring Geopolitical Tipping Points and Climate Cooling Strategies, saw a couple dozen foreign-relations experts, scientists, military personnel, and former government officials from across the world convene in a meeting room at Queen Mary University of London. After making introductions over coffee and little yogurts, they sat at tables arranged in a square with the name of the country or organization each person was playing: national governments, climate NGOs and nonprofits, indigenous groups, and tech companies. Golja was assigned to provide technical advice to help participants make scientifically literate decisions. Read full article Comments
Every model that read this
| Model | Provider | Stage | Score | Conf. | Latency | Prompt | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llama 3.3 70B | Meta | analysis | 0 | 40% | 3908ms | v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 | 2026-10-13 15:32 |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | Anthropic | consensus | -5 | 30% | 5419ms | v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 | 2026-10-13 15:33 |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | consensus | -100 | 80% | 2623ms | v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 | 2026-10-13 15:33 | |
| Mistral Small 3.1 24B | Mistral AI | consensus | -65 | 80% | 7511ms | v1.0.0 / m1.0.1 | 2026-10-13 15:33 |
No clear implications for AI's effect on society
This article is about climate geoengineering governance, not AI. There is no claim about AI's societal effect; it is misclassified or mistagged under an AI feed. Score near zero reflects irrelevance to the spectrum's subject.
The article describes a war game simulation of climate geoengineering, specifically solar radiation management, which resulted in negative outcomes including uncontrolled proliferation and geopolitical instability. Although a simulation, it explores significant risks for humanity arising from AI-assisted climate interventions. The expert's surprise at the outcome underscores the severe challenges.
The war game's poor outcome suggests significant challenges in managing geoengineering. The lack of agreement on ethical research and global cooperation implies a high risk of uncontrolled and harmful interventions.
Evidence extracted
- Researchers war-gamed a global response to Sun-dimming technology
SOURCE Ars Technica: AI (tier 1)
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DOCUMENT 09e574ef-53e1-436c-86fd-e53105954419
https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/10/they-war-gamed-dimming-the-sun-it-went-even-worse-than-you-think
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EVIDENCE 1 extracted excerpt
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MODEL RUN 4 runs, methodology 1.0.1
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SCORE -42 (Adverse)
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CONFIDENCE 57%